Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 1.426367 1.627449 1.846567 2.103060 2.395088 2.717263 3.099737
2025-02-02 1.168876 1.455415 1.795427 2.228630 2.766065 3.411237 4.245233
2025-02-09 1.017461 1.345707 1.758810 2.316865 3.051466 3.986238 5.267741
2025-02-16 0.893697 1.242056 1.702148 2.354269 3.255460 4.458335 6.188829
2025-02-23 0.773281 1.121991 1.602265 2.312013 3.335147 4.758630 6.894064
2025-03-02 0.684285 1.031926 1.529054 2.291714 3.433512 5.082209 7.650019
2025-03-09 0.619189 0.967255 1.482355 2.300051 3.567260 5.460134 8.510924
2025-03-16 0.564336 0.910848 1.440206 2.307574 3.695473 5.834769 9.393856
2025-03-23 0.520904 0.866862 1.411328 2.330298 3.845474 6.250591 10.372484
2025-03-30 0.468299 0.802172 1.342591 2.280640 3.871650 6.468192 11.044689
2025-04-06 0.422806 0.744397 1.279005 2.231980 3.892298 6.674247 11.709780
2025-04-13 0.378318 0.683757 1.204608 2.156938 3.859217 6.784055 12.214449
2025-04-20 0.371552 0.689409 1.245447 2.288334 4.201002 7.571140 13.989682
2025-04-27 0.364775 0.694399 1.285547 2.422150 4.559561 8.419260 15.954905
2025-05-04 0.352755 0.688273 1.304563 2.518143 4.855949 9.178318 17.821116
2025-05-11 0.334247 0.667875 1.295019 2.558784 5.050557 9.763750 19.407747
2025-05-18 0.306747 0.627235 1.243320 2.512865 5.073096 10.023848 20.382699
2025-05-25 0.284755 0.595419 1.205704 2.490808 5.139571 10.372082 21.559678
2025-06-01 0.268215 0.573094 1.184708 2.499867 5.268409 10.851711 23.041608
2025-06-08 0.252984 0.552039 1.164331 2.508041 5.395347 11.336308 24.573523
2025-06-15 0.240577 0.535824 1.152439 2.532736 5.558502 11.907252 26.335795
2025-06-22 0.222014 0.504481 1.105970 2.478773 5.547480 12.110567 27.317667
2025-06-29 0.205159 0.475391 1.061836 2.425896 5.533782 12.305840 28.296439